Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 10.308168 11.916532 13.638828 15.614154 17.810687 20.171871 22.895472
2025-02-23 8.083270 10.147823 12.499600 15.355788 18.708650 22.497346 27.078739
2025-03-02 6.485392 8.751923 11.475068 14.944850 19.202267 24.208390 30.488845
2025-03-09 5.414091 7.795510 10.794669 14.777765 19.851053 26.016296 33.985944
2025-03-16 4.504379 6.900034 10.054054 14.405971 20.139584 27.314414 36.835601
2025-03-23 3.938171 6.377645 9.718232 14.483267 20.945127 29.233156 40.473976
2025-03-30 3.430523 5.865250 9.328201 14.425643 21.526984 30.844291 43.734287
2025-04-06 3.072390 5.522900 9.131111 14.594606 22.389640 32.822270 47.505496
2025-04-13 2.763787 5.215277 8.946691 14.749423 23.214470 34.753093 51.249912
2025-04-20 2.561836 5.051109 8.954207 15.168447 24.411197 37.210672 55.758033
2025-04-27 2.353747 4.850236 8.882075 15.451451 25.408227 39.408160 59.957915
2025-05-04 2.109702 4.557048 8.634881 15.441314 25.959745 40.981523 63.321182
2025-05-11 1.770544 4.053373 8.004695 14.793725 25.529939 41.145944 64.725890
2025-05-18 1.555814 3.751442 7.681496 14.605809 25.774504 42.273929 67.509695
2025-05-25 1.339650 3.415949 7.267515 14.234757 25.705302 42.923297 69.605201
2025-06-01 1.182046 3.176122 6.999387 14.083638 25.964246 44.054000 72.414548
2025-06-08 1.017513 2.896332 6.630331 13.729680 25.871005 44.637003 74.416971
2025-06-15 0.923516 2.758225 6.513979 13.805645 26.473709 46.289441 78.039290
2025-06-22 0.825196 2.594921 6.332941 13.750814 26.850177 47.594403 81.161028
2025-06-29 0.758981 2.498511 6.275252 13.913726 27.593332 49.485538 85.207683
2025-07-06 0.697609 2.404661 6.213713 14.062881 28.313664 51.353832 89.254357
2025-07-13 0.663588 2.376669 6.286286 14.466398 29.483588 53.963092 94.493188
2025-07-20 0.621134 2.319618 6.291571 14.738966 30.430938 56.233924 99.248566